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US Dollar Index news for August 19, 2026

The US Dollar Index has been volatile, recently hitting two-month lows on fading Federal Reserve rate hike bets, but has since firmed as Middle East tensions, particularly around Hormuz, prompted safe-haven demand. The conflicting forces have left the index sensitive to both geopolitical headlines and monetary policy expectations, with Washington-related factors also cited as a drag on rallies.

How the day unfolded

  1. The US Dollar Index remains under pressure as fading expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike have led traders to push back on hawkish bets, sending the currency to multi-month lows. While geopolitical jitters around the Middle East have at times supported the dollar, the broader trend is driven by shifting monetary policy expectations, with the index recently trading near 99.50 after attempting to recover from its lows.

  2. The US Dollar Index sank to two-month lows as expectations of further Federal Reserve rate hikes faded, with Goldman Sachs calling a September hike unlikely as inflation eases. The dollar then firmed slightly on Middle East jitters related to the Strait of Hormuz, recovering above 99.50. The index remains sensitive to shifts in Fed policy bets and geopolitical risk sentiment.

  3. The US Dollar Index is being driven lower by fading expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise rates, with Goldman Sachs calling a September hike very unlikely and market odds slipping. However, Middle East tensions, particularly around Hormuz, have intermittently supported the currency as a safe haven, leading to a recovery from two-month lows. Mixed signals from these drivers are keeping the dollar volatile.

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As of 13:27 UTC

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Not investment advice. For informational purposes only.