EUR/USD news for August 27, 2026
The euro is hovering around 1.1650 as stronger US inflation data, which lifted the dollar, offsets support from a hawkish European Central Bank stance that has raised expectations for a September rate hike. Investors are weighing the Fed-ECB policy outlook, with the upcoming Jackson Hole symposium adding to the focus on the pair.
How the day unfolded
EUR/USD is being pulled between a hawkish ECB signal from Isabel Schnabel, who backed further tightening on extended above-target inflation, and a firmer dollar supported by higher U.S. yields. Markets are now focused on the upcoming U.S. core PCE price index and Jackson Hole speech as the next catalysts for the pair.
The euro is holding gains above 1.1650, supported by a hawkish ECB stance, with officials like Schnabel signaling extended inflation above 2% and backing further tightening. However, the US dollar is broadly firmer as higher yields and positioning ahead of the Jackson Hole symposium and key US inflation data provide a counterweight, testing the limits of Fed-ECB policy convergence.
EUR/USD is being driven by contrasting central bank expectations: hawkish ECB comments from Schnabel, who sees inflation above 2% for an extended period, underpin the euro, while firmer US yields and expectations of Fed tightening, supported by sticky core PCE and steady GDP data, lend strength to the dollar. This dynamic is testing the limits of Fed-ECB policy convergence, with markets positioning ahead of Jackson Hole and the Fed's favored inflation gauge.
EUR/USD is under pressure following a stronger-than-expected US PCE inflation report, which reinforced expectations for further Federal Reserve tightening and pushed US yields higher, supporting the dollar. ECB officials, including Schnabel, have maintained a hawkish stance, but the policy convergence narrative currently favors the dollar, keeping the pair near recent lows.
The Euro has been oscillating around 1.1650 against the US Dollar, with the pair pressured by stronger US inflation data and revived Fed tightening expectations, while ECB officials’ hawkish remarks and upside inflation risks lend some support. Markets are weighing the divergence between Fed and ECB policy paths ahead of Jackson Hole.
EUR/USD is trading around 1.1650 as markets digest contrasting policy signals, with firmer US inflation data supporting the dollar while ECB minutes and commentary point toward a possible September rate hike. The pair's moves reflect investors weighing the relative pace of monetary tightening between the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank.
EUR/USD is being driven by shifting rate expectations on both sides of the Atlantic. The euro retreated below 1.1650 after US inflation data (PCE) strengthened the dollar ahead of the Jackson Hole symposium, but it later trimmed losses and held gains as the ECB's hawkish bias and a possible September rate hike supported the single currency. Traders are weighing how Fed and ECB policy paths will diverge or converge, which keeps the pair sensitive to central bank signals.
Headlines (19)
- Event Guide: U.S. Core PCE Price Index (July 2026)www.babypips.com · Aug 25, 01:28 UTC
- Market Quick Take - Wider tariffs and another chip selloff as gold extends its run - 25 August 2026www.home.saxo · Aug 25, 06:49 UTC
- Preview, today: Fed's favoured inflation gauge lands two days before Warsh's Jackson Hole speechinvestinglive.com · Aug 26, 00:59 UTC
- ECB’s Schnabel Sees Inflation Above 2% for Extended Period, Backs More Tighteningwww.actionforex.com · Aug 26, 08:13 UTC
- Schnabel’s Hawkish Signal Reshapes the ECB Rate Outlook and Supports EUR/USDwww.investing.com · Aug 26, 10:01 UTC
- EUR/USD Rally Tests the Limits of Fed-ECB Policy Convergencewww.investing.com · Aug 26, 17:41 UTC
- Forex Today: US Dollar firms ahead of Jackson Holewww.fxstreet.com · Aug 26, 19:58 UTC
- investingLive Americas FX news wrap 26 Aug The USD is mostly higher with higher yields the catalystinvestinglive.com · Aug 26, 20:45 UTC
- Euro holds gains above 1.1650 on hawkish ECB biaswww.fxstreet.com · 00:57 UTC
- Sticky Core PCE and Steady GDP Keep Fed Tightening Hopes Alivewww.babypips.com · 03:26 UTC
- Euro: Lower against US Dollar after PCE surprise – Danske Bankwww.fxstreet.com · 06:49 UTC
- British Pound finds support near weekly low as fiscal woes and rate gap weigh on Yenwww.fxstreet.com · 08:09 UTC
- Euro retreats below 1.1650 as inflation data buoys US Dollar ahead of Jackson Holewww.fxstreet.com · 10:16 UTC
- US Dollar Edges Higherwww.investing.com · 11:28 UTC
- Policymakers concluded that risks to the inflation outlook are tilted to the upside - ECB accountsinvestinglive.com · 11:46 UTC
- Kickstart the NA session with a technical look at the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD: Key levels in playinvestinglive.com · 12:16 UTC
- ECB Minutes: Hawks Push for More Tightening as July Pause Leaves Door Openwww.actionforex.com · 12:23 UTC
- ECB is gradually shifting towards a September rate hikethink.ing.com · 12:24 UTC
- Euro trims intraday losses as traders weigh Fed-ECB interest rate outlookswww.fxstreet.com · 13:37 UTC
Scheduled events
As of 21:05 UTC
- 2026-08-27 — German GfK Consumer Climate · forecast -29.5 · EUR
- 2026-08-27 — M3 Money Supply y/y · forecast 3.5% · EUR
- 2026-08-27 — Private Loans y/y · forecast 2.9% · EUR
- 2026-08-27 — ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts · EUR
- 2026-08-27 — Unemployment Claims · forecast 208K · USD
- 2026-08-27 — Prelim Wholesale Inventories m/m · forecast 0.2% · USD
- 2026-08-27 — Goods Trade Balance · forecast -100.8B · USD
- 2026-08-27 — Natural Gas Storage · forecast 19B · USD
Not investment advice. For informational purposes only.