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EUR/USD news for September 13, 2026

Recent headlines highlight expectations for further interest rate hikes from both the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank. Goldman Sachs expects a 25 basis point Fed hike following CPI data, while ECB President Lagarde stated that the euro-area inflation shock will last longer than expected, and high oil prices could force the ECB to raise rates further. The relative pace of monetary policy tightening between the two central banks remains a key factor for EUR/USD.

How the day unfolded

  1. The European Central Bank raised rates hawkishly, but the euro remained flat above 1.1600 as traders focused on upcoming US CPI data. Higher-than-expected core US inflation has boosted expectations for Federal Reserve tightening, supporting the dollar. EUR/USD is expected to find direction after the US CPI release.

  2. US core CPI came in higher than expected, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates for the first time in years, with market-implied odds near 90%. The ECB's hawkish stance did little to support the euro as markets focused on the Fed. These developments matter for EUR/USD because they shift relative monetary policy expectations between the two central banks.

  3. Higher-than-expected core US inflation data has increased expectations that the Federal Reserve will tighten monetary policy, with rate hike odds rising near 90%. This has boosted the US Dollar and pressured EUR/USD, as markets focused on the Fed even after the ECB's hawkish stance. Market participants are now awaiting US CPI data for further direction.

  4. Recent headlines are focused on U.S. inflation and Federal Reserve policy, with higher-than-expected core CPI cited as justifying tighter policy and rate-hike odds reported near 90%. That focus on the Fed has coincided with dollar gains and has outweighed the ECB's hawkish stance in EUR/USD trading. The instrument is therefore being driven mainly by shifting expectations around U.S. rates rather than by euro-area policy news.

  5. Higher-than-expected US core CPI data increased expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates, contributing to dollar gains against the euro. The ECB's hawkish stance did little to support the euro as market attention remained focused on the Fed's policy path. EUR/USD direction is now seen as likely to be determined by US inflation data and Fed tightening expectations.

  6. Higher-than-expected core CPI has given the Fed enough to tighten, and the Fed is poised to raise interest rates for the first time in years, with rate hike odds near 90% and a quarter-point hike leading September pricing. For EUR/USD, the focus is on the Fed's rate decision and global yields that have exploded higher, while markets rebounded after initial reactions were reversed and the weekly forecast debates whether to hike or not.

  7. Recent headlines center on expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates, with higher-than-expected core CPI cited as giving the Fed enough to tighten and FOMC previews pointing to a 25 basis point hike. Rate-hike odds have been reported near 90%, while Polymarket pricing for a quarter-point September move sits at 62%, and market reactions have reversed after initial moves. For EUR/USD, the focus is on the Fed’s rate decision and shifting tightening expectations because they influence the US dollar side of the currency pair.

  8. Headlines show the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates, with market odds near 90% for a September hike, while ECB officials suggest rate increases may be needed to curb inflation from high oil prices. These monetary policy expectations for both central banks are the primary factors currently driving EUR/USD.

  9. Recent headlines point to growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in September, with Goldman Sachs backing a 25bp hike and JPMorgan also expecting a September move. At the same time, ECB policymakers have said the central bank may need to raise rates, with high oil prices cited as a factor. For EURUSD, these developments matter because the exchange rate is sensitive to relative interest-rate expectations between the Fed and the ECB.

  10. Recent headlines highlight monetary policy expectations as a key driver for EUR/USD, with Goldman Sachs backing a 25 basis point Fed rate hike after CPI and ECB officials suggesting further rate increases may be needed to curb the economy and address high oil prices. Citi indicates the pair could retest the 1.17 level following the Fed decision, while the CFTC's latest report notes a broader positioning reset led by a yen reversal.

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