Euro holds under 1.12 as traders await Fed and ECB decisions: Oct 26, 2026
The euro is trading under 1.12 as traders await Federal Reserve and European Central Bank decisions falling a day apart amid inflation risks. Attention is on ECB caution and France risk, with Moody's not downgrading France and demand for French bonds reviving. The upcoming Fed, ECB and Bank of Japan decisions are keeping focus on monetary policy for the euro against the US dollar.
Updated
The reading that day
NeutralAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It held all day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Neutral
Headlines (23)
First seen on October 26
- ECB set to hold at 2.50% as Morgan Stanley sees December as natural moment for next hikeInvestingLive
- Euro edges higher above 1.1200 despite French debt worriesFXStreet
- France: The sickest man of Europepolitico.eu
- EUR/USD Price Forecast: Holds gains above 1.1200 yet retains bearish tone below 100-day SMAFXStreet
- Major central banks take centre stage this week but will there be any surprises?InvestingLive
- Euro's Troubles May Be Overblown. Forecast as of 26.10.2026LiteFinance
- Euro: Rising inflation risks threaten resilience - CommerzbankFXStreet
- EUR/CHF rebounds from 0.9200 but is the worst really over for the euro?InvestingLive
- ECB Expected to Leave Key Rate Unchanged Amid French Bond DramaThe Wall Street Journal
- Euro: Seen gradually lower from 1.12 against US Dollar – Danske BankFXStreet
- Euro: Moody’s reprieve fails to support EUR – MUFGFXStreet
- Euro gains amid revival in demand for French bonds, ECB-Fed policy in focusFXStreet
- Fed, ECB and BoJ to make rate decisions amid inflation risksaa.com.tr
- The Federal Reserve is set to hold rates this week: Why a December hike is virtually fully priced anywayFXStreet
- Euro: Upside capped near 1.1270 against US Dollar – INGFXStreet
- Moody's Did Not Downgrade France and Peripheral Premiums are Narrower, but the Euro Struggles to Find Tractionmarctomarket.com
- Central Banks Are in No HurryActionForex
- Euro: ECB caution meets France risk – BBHFXStreet
- Euro slips as traders await Fed and ECB monetary policy decisionsFXStreet
- Fed and ECB decisions fall a day apart for a Euro under 1.12FXStreet
Carried over from earlier days
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Monday, October 26 | ||
| Private Loans y/y | EUR | |
| M3 Money Supply y/y | EUR | |
| German ifo Business Climate | 90.0 | EUR |
| Tuesday, October 27 | ||
| German GfK Consumer Climate | EUR | |
| Spanish Unemployment Rate | 9.9% | EUR |
| M3 Money Supply y/y | 3.5% | EUR |
| Private Loans y/y | 3.1% | EUR |
| Italian Prelim CPI m/m | EUR | |