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AUD/USD news for September 19, 2026

The Australian dollar has drawn attention from hawkish signals from the Reserve Bank of Australia, with Governor Bullock noting upside risks to the outlook and that policymakers are weighing whether policy is tight enough as oil pressures build. Coverage points to expectations, including UBS's view of further rate rises toward 4.85%, as the RBA reiterates its commitment to bringing inflation down amid excess demand and a global inflation shock, in contrast to the Bank of Japan's different policy stance. A retreat in oil prices loosening the U.S. dollar's grip has also been cited as a factor in the currency finding a floor.

How the day unfolded

  1. The Australian dollar has found support as a retreat in oil has eased pressure from the US dollar, helping offset the impact of a hawkish Federal Reserve hike. Attention has centered on the Reserve Bank of Australia, which has reiterated its commitment to bringing inflation down amid excess demand and a global inflation shock, with hawkish comments prompting expectations cited by UBS of two more hikes to a 4.85% terminal rate. Buying interest at the 100-day moving average has also featured in the rebound.

  2. The Australian dollar has found support as a retreat in oil prices has loosened the U.S. dollar's grip, helping to offset the impact of a hawkish Federal Reserve hike. Focus has been on a more hawkish Reserve Bank of Australia, with officials reiterating a commitment to bring inflation down amid excess demand and a global inflation shock, leading UBS to expect two more hikes to a 4.85% terminal rate. Price action has also reflected defense of the 100-day moving average and diverging policy signals from the RBA and the Bank of Japan.

  3. The Australian dollar has found support as retreating oil prices loosened the U.S. dollar's grip, helping offset pressure from a hawkish Fed hike. The move follows hawkish RBA comments and its reiterated commitment to bring inflation down amid excess demand and a global inflation shock, with UBS cited as seeing two more hikes to a 4.85% terminal rate after Bullock's comments. Buyers also defended the 100-day moving average, while opposite policy surprises from the RBA and Bank of Japan left the Aussie strongest against a weak yen.

  4. The Australian dollar has found support as a retreat in oil loosened the U.S. dollar's grip, helping to offset pressure from a hawkish Fed hike. Focus has been on hawkish RBA messaging, including its reiterated commitment to bring inflation down amid excess demand and a global inflation shock, with UBS cited as seeing two more hikes to a 4.85% terminal rate after Bullock's comments. The pair also rebounded after buyers defended the 100-day moving average, while opposite policy surprises from the RBA and Bank of Japan left the Aussie strongest and the yen weakest.

  5. The Australian dollar has found a floor as a retreat in oil loosened the U.S. dollar's grip, helping offset a hawkish Federal Reserve hike. The move has been linked to hawkish Reserve Bank of Australia comments and its reiterated commitment to bring inflation down amid excess demand and a global inflation shock, with discussion of two more hikes to a 4.85% terminal rate, and with defense of the 100-day moving average and contrasting policy surprises from the RBA and Bank of Japan also noted.

  6. The Australian dollar has found support as hawkish comments from the RBA and Governor Bullock reiterated a commitment to bringing inflation down amid excess demand and oil-related price pressures, lifting expectations for further rate increases. A retreat in oil prices has loosened the U.S. dollar's grip, while buying around the 100-day moving average helped AUD/USD stabilize following contrasting policy signals from the RBA and Bank of Japan.

  7. The Australian dollar has found a floor as a retreat in oil has loosened the U.S. dollar's grip, with the currency noted as strongest as the RBA and Bank of Japan delivered opposite policy surprises. The focus has been on hawkish RBA commentary, with Governor Bullock reiterating the commitment to bring inflation down while flagging upside risks to the outlook and excess demand amid global inflation and oil pressures, and UBS was reported to see two more hikes to a 4.85% terminal rate after those comments.

  8. The Australian dollar has found support following hawkish commentary from the RBA, including Governor Bullock's remarks that risks to the outlook were skewed to the upside and that policymakers are weighing whether policy is tight enough amid excess demand, oil pressures and a commitment to bring inflation down. A retreat in oil prices loosening the U.S. dollar's grip, along with contrasting policy signals from the RBA and the Bank of Japan, has also shaped recent trading in the pair.

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