AUD/USD bias flipped 8 times to neutral on October 1, 2026
The Australian dollar has fallen below the 0.70 and 0.6959 levels as robust US data, rising US yields and a recovering US dollar have overshadowed the RBA's 25bp hike to 4.6%, with focus on comments from Bullock and Westpac's expectation of another hike in November. Softer US PCE data briefly weighed on the dollar, but the Aussie lagged that move, while a sharply smaller trade surplus, the Aussie CPI report and China PMI data have also featured in recent price action.
Updated
The reading that day
NeutralAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It changed 8 times during the day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Bearish
- 01:35Weak bullish
- 01:50Bearish
- 02:20Weak bullish
- 06:01Neutral
- 07:01Weak bearish
- 11:51Bullish
- 16:11Bearish
- 20:17Neutral
Headlines (21)
First seen on October 1
- Australian Dollar declines below 0.6959 as Trade Surplus shrinks sharplyFXStreet
- Australian Dollar weakens as robust US data, rising US yields overshadow RBA rate hikeFXStreet
Carried over from earlier days
- Statement by the Monetary Policy Board: Monetary Policy Decisionrba.gov.au
- RBA raises cash rate by 25 bps to 4.60%, highest since 2011InvestingLive
- Reserve Bank of Australia Raises Rates a Fourth Time as Inflation Fears MaterializeThe Wall Street Journal
- RBA Hiked Unanimously—Then Bullock’s “Hope” Sent Aussie Through 0.7000 SupportActionForex
- Australia raises interest rates to 15-year highAl Jazeera
- RBA interest rates: governor Michele Bullock explains decision to lift cash rate to 4.6% – videoThe Guardian
- RBA Delivers 25bp Hike - Bullock Now the Main EventInvesting.com
- What drove the Australian Dollar below 0.7000 as the Reserve Bank of Australia hiked to 4.60%?FXStreet
- investingLive European news wrap: US-Iran talks keep markets tentatively optimisticInvestingLive
- Morning Kickstart: Dollar gains against most majors despite the RBA rate hikeInvestingLive
- AUDUSD Technicals: The sellers remain in control in the AUDUSD despite the RBA rate hikeInvestingLive
- The New Zealand Dollar breaks lower after Australia's rate hikeFXStreet
- Westpac sees RBA hiking again in November after 25bp move to 4.6% yesterdayInvestingLive
- Australian Dollar dives to six-month low vs Yen after Aussie CPI report, China PMIsFXStreet
- Australian Dollar struggles to gain traction despite solid Chinese PMI DataFXStreet
- AUD/USD Price Forecast: Holds slight recovery from 0.6960FXStreet
- Dollar Slides on Softer PCE, Aussie Lags as Sterling Extends BoE RallyActionForex
- Australian Dollar reverses post-PCE rebound as US Dollar recoversFXStreet
- Aussie Dollar slips below 0.70 as Bullock dovishness trumps soft PCEFXStreet
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Thursday, October 1 | ||
| Goods Trade Balance | 2.00B | AUD |
| RBA Financial Stability Review | AUD | |
| Commodity Prices y/y | AUD | |
| Challenger Job Cuts y/y | USD | |
| Unemployment Claims | 201K | USD |
| FOMC Member Barkin Speaks | USD | |
| FOMC Member Collins Speaks | USD | |
| FOMC Member Schmid Speaks | USD | |