EUR/USD bias flipped 17 times to weak bearish on October 1, 2026
The euro has fallen to yearly lows around 1.1265 against the US dollar, breaking below 1.13 as the dollar reached multi-month highs. The move is linked in coverage to strong US data keeping Fed tightening in play, rising US yields and high oil prices, alongside European uncertainty including hotter inflation from its biggest economies and debt concerns. Reports also note an extending bond rout into Q4 and similar market dynamics continuing into the new month as PCE data approaches.
Updated
The reading that day
Weak bearishAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It changed 17 times during the day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Weak bearish
- 02:45Weak bullish
- 03:00Weak bearish
- 04:05Weak bullish
- 06:21Bullish
- 06:41Bearish
- 08:16Weak bullish
- 08:56Weak bearish
- 13:21Weak bullish
- 14:51Bearish
- 17:06Weak bullish
- 17:56Neutral
- 18:11Weak bearish
- 19:01Bearish
- 19:42Weak bullish
- 19:57Bearish
- 20:12Weak bullish
- 22:37Weak bearish
Headlines (17)
First seen on October 1
- Greenback Gains on Strong US Data and European Uncertainty. Forecast as of 01.10.2026LiteFinance
- 1.1265: Euro hits yearly lows amid high Oil prices, rising US yields and debt woesFXStreet
- U.S. dollar hits 18-month high as euro stumbles — live market updatesMarketWatch
- Bond Rout Extends Into Q4 as Dollar Rises and EUR/USD Breaks 1.13ActionForex
- New Month, Same Market Dynamicsmarctomarket.com
- Euro: Outlook weakens as risks build – RabobankFXStreet
- Euro hits fresh yearly low as strong US data keeps Fed tightening in playFXStreet
Carried over from earlier days
- US Dollar Strengthens as Dollar Smile Returns. Forecast as of 29.09.2026LiteFinance
- FX Daily: Lagarde lifts some support from the euroING Think
- Euro approaches yearly lows at 1.1324 against an unstoppable US DollarFXStreet
- Euro falls to three-month low as hawkish Fed outlook weighsFXStreet
- Euro stays pressured below 1.1350, near YTD low vs bullish USD ahead of US PCE, Q2 GDPFXStreet
- Euro remains depressed near yearly lows amid soft German dataFXStreet
- EUR/USD: Dollar correction faces resistance – Societe GeneraleFXStreet
- What is driving the US Dollar to multi-month highs against the Euro as PCE data approaches?FXStreet
- Isabel Schnabel: Monetary policy in a world of overlapping shocksEuropean Central Bank
- The Euro slips as Europe's biggest economies report hotter inflationFXStreet
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Thursday, October 1 | ||
| Spanish Manufacturing PMI | 50.2 | EUR |
| Italian Manufacturing PMI | 50.1 | EUR |
| French Final Manufacturing PMI | 50.3 | EUR |
| German Final Manufacturing PMI | 53.8 | EUR |
| Italian Monthly Unemployment Rate | 5.8% | EUR |
| Final Manufacturing PMI | 52.7 | EUR |
| Spanish 10-y Bond Auction | EUR | |
| French 10-y Bond Auction | EUR | |