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EUR/USD news for August 25, 2026

The dollar slipped to its lowest since May, partly as the Treasury doubled its bond buyback plans, while the euro drew support from a stronger German Ifo business climate reading. Market focus now turns to the upcoming U.S. core PCE price index, which will offer fresh clues on the Fed's policy path amid mixed signals from officials on potential rate moves.

How the day unfolded

  1. The euro has climbed to its highest level against the dollar since May, as the U.S. dollar softens broadly amid renewed 'Sell America' sentiment and Treasury bond buyback plans. Technical positioning shows EURUSD testing its rising 100-hour moving average, with forecasters highlighting a broken trendline that suggests further upside for the pair. Market focus remains on upcoming U.S. core PCE data and Federal Reserve policy expectations, which are seen as key drivers for near-term currency moves.

  2. The euro strengthened to its highest level against the dollar since May, driven by broad dollar weakness as the Treasury announced it would double bond buybacks and the 'sell America' trade returned. Softness in the greenback is underpinned by expectations that the Federal Reserve will remain on hold, with markets awaiting the U.S. core PCE inflation report for further direction. The pair is currently testing a rising 100-hour moving average, while analysts point to a broken trendline as a technical focus.

  3. EURUSD is trading near its highest level since May, supported by stronger-than-forecast German GDP data and a softer dollar, which slipped to its lowest since May amid Treasury bond buybacks. Technical reports highlight the pair testing its 100-hour moving average and a broken trendline, while market attention turns to the upcoming U.S. core PCE inflation print and expectations that the Federal Reserve will remain on hold.

  4. EURUSD has climbed to its highest level since May, buoyed by a weaker dollar and stronger-than-expected German economic data, including a GDP beat and a jump in the Ifo business climate. The dollar's slide followed the Treasury's decision to double its bond buyback program. Markets now await the upcoming U.S. Core PCE inflation release, with forecasters still expecting the Fed to hold rates this year.

  5. The euro trades at its strongest level against the dollar since May, as the greenback slips on the Treasury's plan to double bond buybacks. A jump in Germany's Ifo business climate adds support to the euro, while markets await the U.S. Core PCE price index for potential policy cues, with forecasters still seeing the Fed on hold this year.

  6. EUR/USD is trading at its highest level since May, helped by a weaker dollar after the Treasury announced a doubling of bond buybacks and by strong German Ifo data. The pair is now testing the rising 100-hour moving average and a swing area, with the market's focus turning to the upcoming U.S. core PCE price index. Risks around wider tariffs and a chip selloff, along with expectations that the Fed stays on hold, are also in the background.

  7. EUR/USD has reached its highest level since May as the dollar slipped following the Treasury's decision to double bond buybacks. The euro also drew support from a jump in Germany's Ifo business climate, indicating a broader recovery. Attention now turns to the U.S. core PCE price index, with forecasters seeing the Fed on hold this year.

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Scheduled events

As of 23:05 UTC

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