EUR/USD bias held neutral on October 4, 2026
The U.S. jobs picture is drawing attention amid uncertainty over whether labor conditions have softened. Developments in the French stock market are also in focus, while broader market risks highlighted in bank commentary add context for the euro against the dollar.
Updated
The reading that day
NeutralAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It held all day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Neutral
Headlines (21)
First seen on October 4
- French stock market says 'au revoir'InvestingLive
Carried over from earlier days
- Euro Plunges as French Debt Crisis Deepens. Forecast as of 02.10.2026LiteFinance
- EUR/USD: French risk premium weighs on Euro – INGFXStreet
- Euro trims daily gains as Eurozone inflation accelerates above expectationsFXStreet
- Higher Eurozone inflation adds pressure on ECB to tighten againFinancial Times
- The Dollar Has Lost Momentum but Not StrengthActionForex
- North American Morning Kickstart: Dollar mixed ahead of US jobs report as oil falls and futures riseInvestingLive
- US Non Farm Payroll Employment Misses at 29K as Wages Slow and Unemployment Rises to 4.2%ActionForex
- US jobs market sees sharp slowdown in Septemberbbc.co.uk
- Euro rebounds above 1.1250 after weak US jobs data weighs on US DollarFXStreet
- Weekly Focus – French Budget Sets Off Turmoil in European BondsActionForex
- EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: EU inflation outpaces US price growth as ECB, Fed meetings loomFXStreet
- U.S. Hiring Stalls at 29,000 Jobsbabypips.com
- US added just 29,000 jobs in September in sharp drop from last month’s gainsThe Guardian
- US job growth slows as unemployment rises before midterm electionsAl Jazeera
- ‘Maxi merde’: French presidential campaign rattled by a week of chaospolitico.eu
- Private Sector Employers Created 46,000 Jobs, Governments Shed 17,000 Jobswolfstreet.com
- Week ahead: ISM services, Fed minutes and Canadian jobs lead the economic calendar. Be aware.InvestingLive
- October fallFinancial Times
- BofA sees EUR/USD at 1.15 by year-end amid market risksInvesting.com
- The U.S. jobs market just took a turn for the worse. Or did it?MarketWatch
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Monday, October 5 | ||
| Spanish Services PMI | 57.1 | EUR |
| Italian Services PMI | 54.6 | EUR |
| German Buba President Nagel Speaks | EUR | |
| French Final Services PMI | 51.4 | EUR |
| German Final Services PMI | 52.9 | EUR |
| Italian Retail Sales m/m | EUR | |
| Final Services PMI | 53.0 | EUR |
| Sentix Investor Confidence | 4.5 | EUR |