EUR/USD bias flipped 23 times to weak bearish on October 2, 2026
The euro has fallen to yearly lows around 1.1265 as France's deepening debt worries widened the French-German bond gap, alongside pressure from high oil prices, rising U.S. yields and strong U.S. data keeping Fed tightening in play. Hotter inflation reports from Europe's biggest economies added to the pressure, while weak U.S. jobs data at one point weighed on the dollar and helped the euro rebound above 1.1250.
Updated
The reading that day
Weak bearishAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It changed 23 times during the day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Weak bearish
- 07:12Weak bullish
- 07:42Bearish
- 07:57Weak bullish
- 08:32Neutral
- 09:02Weak bullish
- 10:17Weak bearish
- 10:32Neutral
- 11:22Weak bearish
- 12:22Neutral
- 12:37Bullish
- 13:37Bearish
- 13:52Bullish
- 14:07Neutral
- 15:02Weak bearish
- 15:17Bullish
- 16:27Weak bullish
- 16:42Neutral
- 16:57Bullish
- 17:13Neutral
- 17:28Bearish
- 17:58Neutral
- 19:53Weak bullish
- 21:08Weak bearish
Headlines (11)
First seen on October 2
- Euro Plunges as French Debt Crisis Deepens. Forecast as of 02.10.2026LiteFinance
- The Dollar Has Lost Momentum but Not StrengthActionForex
- Euro rebounds above 1.1250 after weak US jobs data weighs on US DollarFXStreet
Carried over from earlier days
- What is driving the US Dollar to multi-month highs against the Euro as PCE data approaches?FXStreet
- The Euro slips as Europe's biggest economies report hotter inflationFXStreet
- Greenback Gains on Strong US Data and European Uncertainty. Forecast as of 01.10.2026LiteFinance
- 1.1265: Euro hits yearly lows amid high Oil prices, rising US yields and debt woesFXStreet
- Bond Rout Extends Into Q4 as Dollar Rises and EUR/USD Breaks 1.13ActionForex
- Euro: Outlook weakens as risks build – RabobankFXStreet
- Euro hits fresh yearly low as strong US data keeps Fed tightening in playFXStreet
- The Euro sells off hard as the French-German bond gap widensFXStreet
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Friday, October 2 | ||
| French Gov Budget Balance | EUR | |
| Spanish Unemployment Change | 17.6K | EUR |
| Italian Retail Sales m/m | -0.1% | EUR |
| Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y | 2.5% | EUR |
| CPI Flash Estimate y/y | 3.7% | EUR |
| Average Hourly Earnings m/m | 0.3% | USD |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.1% | USD |
| Non-Farm Employment Change | 89K | USD |