NZD/USD bias flipped 9 times to neutral on September 30, 2026
The New Zealand dollar has been moving with shifting expectations around U.S. Federal Reserve policy and upcoming U.S. data, including payrolls and softer PCE inflation, alongside building expectations for Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate hikes. Moves have also been linked to Australia's rate hike and views on the Australian dollar, while September New Zealand business confidence softened as higher oil prices weighed on activity.
Updated
The reading that day
NeutralAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It changed 9 times during the day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Bearish
- 00:38Weak bearish
- 02:24Neutral
- 02:59Weak bearish
- 03:24Neutral
- 07:09Weak bearish
- 08:24Weak bullish
- 13:19Neutral
- 21:14Bearish
- 23:50Neutral
Headlines (11)
First seen on September 30
- ANZ survey: NZ business confidence eases to +52 as oil rise hits late responsesInvestingLive
- Asian Currencies Consolidate But May Be Aided by Reduced Fed Rate-Hike BetsThe Wall Street Journal
- ANZ NZ Business Confidence Softens as Oil Surge Hits Activity, Not InflationActionForex
- First Impressions: NZ Business cCnfidence, September 2026ActionForex
- NZD/USD Pressure Mounts as Payrolls Looms LargeInvesting.com
- New Zealand Dollar gains as US Dollar declines on easing Fed rate hike betsFXStreet
- investingLive Americas FX news wrap 30 Sept: Softer PCE fails to hold yields down; Dow ends September at June lowsInvestingLive
Carried over from earlier days
- New Zealand Dollar strengthens above 0.5650 on US-China truce extensionFXStreet
- New Zealand Dollar steadies near its lows as RBNZ hike bets keep buildingFXStreet
- AUD/NZD: Underperformance bias with RBA on hold – TD SecuritiesFXStreet
- The New Zealand Dollar breaks lower after Australia's rate hikeFXStreet
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Wednesday, September 30 | ||
| ANZ Business Confidence | NZD | |
| ADP Non-Farm Employment Change | 73K | USD |
| Final GDP q/q | 1.5% | USD |
| Personal Income m/m | 0.5% | USD |
| Goods Trade Balance | -116.3B | USD |
| Personal Spending m/m | 0.8% | USD |
| Prelim Wholesale Inventories m/m | 0.5% | USD |
| Core PCE Price Index m/m | 0.3% | USD |