EUR/USD bias flipped 23 times to weak bearish on September 30, 2026
The euro has fallen to near its yearly low around 1.1324-1.1350 against the US dollar, touching three-month lows. Headlines link the move to a hawkish Federal Reserve outlook ahead of US PCE and Q2 GDP data, alongside soft German data and recent remarks from ECB officials Lagarde and Schnabel.
Updated
The reading that day
Weak bearishAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It changed 23 times during the day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Neutral
- 00:03Weak bearish
- 04:44Neutral
- 05:04Weak bearish
- 06:14Weak bullish
- 07:39Bearish
- 08:09Weak bullish
- 08:39Neutral
- 09:14Weak bullish
- 10:19Weak bearish
- 10:39Neutral
- 10:54Weak bearish
- 11:44Weak bullish
- 12:29Weak bearish
- 12:44Weak bullish
- 12:59Neutral
- 13:54Weak bullish
- 14:29Weak bearish
- 14:44Weak bullish
- 16:04Weak bearish
- 16:34Neutral
- 17:04Weak bullish
- 17:24Neutral
- 23:35Weak bearish
Headlines (15)
First seen on September 30
- Euro stays pressured below 1.1350, near YTD low vs bullish USD ahead of US PCE, Q2 GDPFXStreet
- Euro remains depressed near yearly lows amid soft German dataFXStreet
- EUR/USD: Dollar correction faces resistance – Societe GeneraleFXStreet
- What is driving the US Dollar to multi-month highs against the Euro as PCE data approaches?FXStreet
- Isabel Schnabel: Monetary policy in a world of overlapping shocksEuropean Central Bank
Carried over from earlier days
- Euro declines below 1.1400 on hawkish Fed stance, ongoing Middle East tensionsFXStreet
- EUR/USD breaks through the key 1.14 support as hopes for US-Iran deal fadeInvestingLive
- Euro consolidates losses below 1.1400 amid higher Oil prices, risk-off marketsFXStreet
- Euro struggles as Fed rate-hike bets overshadow ECB tightening expectationsFXStreet
- Euro slips back to its summer low as ECB President Lagarde urges measured hikesFXStreet
- Euro consolidates above 1.1350, seems vulnerable near late July lows amid bullish USDFXStreet
- US Dollar Strengthens as Dollar Smile Returns. Forecast as of 29.09.2026LiteFinance
- FX Daily: Lagarde lifts some support from the euroING Think
- Euro approaches yearly lows at 1.1324 against an unstoppable US DollarFXStreet
- Euro falls to three-month low as hawkish Fed outlook weighsFXStreet
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Wednesday, September 30 | ||
| German Import Prices m/m | 0.6% | EUR |
| German Retail Sales m/m | 1.6% | EUR |
| German Prelim CPI m/m | 0.5% | EUR |
| French Consumer Spending m/m | 0.0% | EUR |
| French Prelim CPI m/m | -0.5% | EUR |
| German Unemployment Change | 1K | EUR |
| Italian Prelim CPI m/m | 0.2% | EUR |
| German 10-y Bond Auction | EUR | |