US Dollar Index bias flipped 28 times to neutral on September 30, 2026
The U.S. dollar rose to a two-month high near 101.50 and is having its best month since June, amid surging bond yields and shifting expectations for an October Federal Reserve rate move, while the euro approached yearly lows near 1.1324. The dollar has since retreated as bets for an October hike fell on soft data and dovish comments, with focus now on upcoming U.S. ADP and PCE data in connection with the 101.80 level.
Updated
The reading that day
NeutralAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It changed 28 times during the day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Neutral
- 01:24Bullish
- 02:09Bearish
- 03:54Bullish
- 06:24Bearish
- 06:39Bullish
- 06:54Bearish
- 07:29Neutral
- 07:44Bullish
- 08:24Bearish
- 08:39Neutral
- 09:09Weak bearish
- 09:24Neutral
- 10:09Weak bearish
- 10:24Neutral
- 10:44Weak bullish
- 11:19Weak bearish
- 11:49Neutral
- 12:19Bullish
- 12:34Bearish
- 12:49Weak bullish
- 13:29Weak bearish
- 15:54Weak bullish
- 16:24Weak bearish
- 17:24Weak bullish
- 18:19Weak bearish
- 18:34Neutral
- 20:24Weak bullish
- 22:45Neutral
Headlines (17)
First seen on September 30
- United States Dollar Index strengthens to near 101.50, US ADP and PCE data loomFXStreet
- Asian currencies mixed as yen rebounds, dollar stays near two-month highInvesting.com
- The Dollar Is Having Its Best Month Since June, and Bitcoin Hasn't Blinked YetBeInCrypto
- US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Possibility of breakout above 101.80 hinges on US dataFXStreet
- Fed rate hike bets for Oct fall sharply on soft data, dovish commentsHellenic Shipping News
- The Dollar Has Retreated from the EdgeActionForex
- US July core PCE 3.0% y/y vs 3.3% expectedInvestingLive
- Surging Yields Bring the Bond Market Back to the Turn of the CenturyThe Wall Street Journal
Carried over from earlier days
- United States Dollar Index trades flat at the start of the US NFP weekFXStreet
- United States Dollar Index remains stronger as hawkish Fed signals drive rate hike betsFXStreet
- The Dollar Has Returned to Its Summer HighsActionForex
- Forex Today: The RBA and Fedspeak grab all the attentionFXStreet
- US Dollar stays fundamentally supported – ScotiabankFXStreet
- Euro approaches yearly lows at 1.1324 against an unstoppable US DollarFXStreet
- Dollar Rises to 2-Month High on Growing Prospect of October U.S. Rate-RiseThe Wall Street Journal
- British Pound slips to 1.32 as 2004-era US yields lift the US DollarFXStreet
- Fed’s Barr signals more rate hikes as October odds fall to 50%Crypto.news
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Wednesday, September 30 | ||
| ANZ Business Confidence | NZD | |
| Private Sector Credit m/m | 0.5% | AUD |
| Trimmed Mean CPI m/m | 0.3% | AUD |
| CPI y/y | 4.1% | AUD |
| CPI m/m | 0.5% | AUD |
| Manufacturing PMI | 50.1 | CNY |
| Building Approvals m/m | -1.6% | AUD |
| Non-Manufacturing PMI | 49.2 | CNY |