US Dollar Index bias flipped 32 times to bearish on October 2, 2026
The Dollar Index rose to multi-month highs above 102.00, including an 18-month high, as surging Treasury yields and an extended bond rout coincided with euro weakness that pushed EUR/USD below 1.13. Headlines also linked the move to dearer crude oil pressuring the euro. A soft US payrolls report of 29K then pushed the index back below 102.00 as expectations for an October Fed hike faded, while the euro continued to lag.
Updated
The reading that day
BearishAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It changed 32 times during the day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Neutral
- 01:57Bullish
- 03:47Neutral
- 04:17Bullish
- 04:37Weak bullish
- 05:07Weak bearish
- 06:22Weak bullish
- 06:37Weak bearish
- 06:52Neutral
- 07:07Weak bullish
- 07:22Weak bearish
- 07:47Weak bullish
- 08:32Bullish
- 08:47Weak bearish
- 09:02Bearish
- 09:32Neutral
- 10:17Weak bullish
- 10:32Neutral
- 11:07Weak bearish
- 11:27Bullish
- 11:42Weak bearish
- 11:57Neutral
- 12:32Bearish
- 14:37Neutral
- 15:12Bullish
- 15:27Bearish
- 17:07Weak bearish
- 17:23Bearish
- 17:53Weak bullish
- 18:08Neutral
- 18:23Bearish
- 18:38Weak bullish
- 19:23Bearish
Headlines (12)
First seen on October 2
- United States Dollar Index sits near March 2025 highs, above 102.00 ahead of US NFPFXStreet
- US Non Farm Payroll Employment Misses at 29K as Wages Slow and Unemployment Rises to 4.2%ActionForex
- Soft NFP Knocks Out October Fed Hike, Dollar Retreats—But Euro Still LagsActionForex
- US payrolls miss at 29K and the Dollar Index drops below 102.00FXStreet
Carried over from earlier days
- US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Possibility of breakout above 101.80 hinges on US dataFXStreet
- The Dollar Has Retreated from the EdgeActionForex
- Surging Yields Bring the Bond Market Back to the Turn of the CenturyThe Wall Street Journal
- FX Daily: Dollar is on a rollING Think
- US dollar hits three-month high as Treasury yields surge, EUR/USD cracks key supportInvestingLive
- U.S. dollar hits 18-month high as euro stumbles — live market updatesMarketWatch
- Bond Rout Extends Into Q4 as Dollar Rises and EUR/USD Breaks 1.13ActionForex
- Dollar Index breaks its June peak as the Euro sinks on dearer Crude OilFXStreet
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Friday, October 2 | ||
| Leading Indicators | JPY | |
| French Gov Budget Balance | EUR | |
| Spanish Unemployment Change | 17.6K | EUR |
| Italian Retail Sales m/m | -0.1% | EUR |
| Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y | 2.5% | EUR |
| CPI Flash Estimate y/y | 3.7% | EUR |
| Average Hourly Earnings m/m | 0.3% | USD |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.1% | USD |