Gold bias flipped 26 times to neutral on October 2, 2026
Gold has moved between near $4,150 and $4,200, falling on higher Treasury yields and oil prices that outweighed softer PCE inflation, then recovering above $4,150 as yields retreated. Focus has shifted to U.S. September jobs data after payrolls missed by 70,000, with Nonfarm Payrolls seen as key for XAU/USD and a subsequent stall at $4,200 linked to climbing U.S. yields. Safe-haven flows have limited the slide while upside is described as capped by real yields, and Morgan Stanley has named supports following a 3.8% slide this year.
Updated
The reading that day
NeutralAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It changed 26 times during the day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Weak bullish
- 02:22Weak bearish
- 02:37Neutral
- 03:52Weak bullish
- 04:42Neutral
- 04:57Bearish
- 05:17Weak bullish
- 07:37Bullish
- 08:47Weak bullish
- 09:57Neutral
- 10:12Weak bearish
- 12:27Bullish
- 13:42Weak bearish
- 13:57Neutral
- 14:17Bullish
- 15:07Bearish
- 15:22Weak bullish
- 15:37Bullish
- 16:07Weak bullish
- 16:23Bullish
- 16:43Weak bullish
- 17:28Bullish
- 17:43Weak bullish
- 18:08Bearish
- 19:23Weak bullish
- 19:53Bullish
- 20:23Neutral
Headlines (15)
First seen on October 2
- Gold Price Forecast: US Nonfarm Payrolls holds the key to XAU/USD’s next big moveFXStreet
- September Payrolls Just Missed by 70,000. Gold and Silver Didn’t Wait to React.GoldSilver
- Gold Weekly Forecast: Precious metal extends slide but safe-haven flows limit lossesFXStreet
- Gold fails at $4,200 despite NFP miss as US yields climbFXStreet
Carried over from earlier days
- Gold holds steady below $4,200 as retreating bond yields and softer USD lend supportFXStreet
- Gold extends the recovery amid renewed US-Iran deal hopes and dovish Fed's Williams commentsInvestingLive
- Gold Is 3 Months Away From Its Most Volatile Year Since 1982, Data ShowsBeInCrypto
- Gold eyes PCE: From technical barriers to Arc Cycle neutrality — What's next?FXStreet
- Bitcoin and Gold Prices Jump in Minutes as US Inflation Cools to 3.4%BeInCrypto
- BlackRock Called It a Supercycle Today. The Mines and Vaults Already Agree.GoldSilver
- Surging Yields Bring the Bond Market Back to the Turn of the CenturyThe Wall Street Journal
- Gold falls to near $4,150 as higher Treasury yields, oil prices outweigh softer PCE inflationFXStreet
- Morgan Stanley Names 3 Supports for Gold After a 3.8% Slide This YearBeInCrypto
- Gold: Upside capped by real yields – UOBFXStreet
- Gold recovers above $4,150 as US yields retreat ahead of US September jobs dataFXStreet
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Friday, October 2 | ||
| Average Hourly Earnings m/m | 0.3% | USD |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.1% | USD |
| Non-Farm Employment Change | 89K | USD |
| FOMC Member Logan Speaks | USD | |
| Factory Orders m/m | 0.1% | USD |
| FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks | USD | |
| Monday, October 5 | ||
| Final Services PMI | 58.7 | USD |
| ISM Services PMI | 55.1 | USD |