EUR/USD bias flipped 16 times to neutral on September 29, 2026
The euro has declined below the 1.1400 level to around 1.1324, near yearly and three-month lows. The move has been linked to a hawkish Federal Reserve outlook and Fed rate-hike bets overshadowing ECB tightening expectations, which has supported US dollar strength. Risk-off conditions tied to higher oil prices, ongoing Middle East tensions and fading hopes for a US-Iran deal, along with commentary around ECB President Lagarde, were also cited as factors.
Updated
The reading that day
NeutralAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It changed 16 times during the day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Weak bearish
- 05:27Neutral
- 07:02Weak bearish
- 07:17Weak bullish
- 07:48Weak bearish
- 08:43Weak bullish
- 09:23Neutral
- 10:13Weak bearish
- 10:53Bearish
- 12:23Weak bearish
- 13:23Neutral
- 15:48Weak bullish
- 16:23Bullish
- 16:58Bearish
- 17:13Weak bullish
- 18:08Bullish
- 19:13Neutral
Headlines (12)
First seen on September 29
- Euro consolidates above 1.1350, seems vulnerable near late July lows amid bullish USDFXStreet
- US Dollar Strengthens as Dollar Smile Returns. Forecast as of 29.09.2026LiteFinance
- FX Daily: Lagarde lifts some support from the euroING Think
- Euro approaches yearly lows at 1.1324 against an unstoppable US DollarFXStreet
- Euro falls to three-month low as hawkish Fed outlook weighsFXStreet
Carried over from earlier days
- Euro declines below 1.1400 on hawkish Fed stance, ongoing Middle East tensionsFXStreet
- Dollar Rally Gains Momentum Amid Hawkish Fed and Surging Oil Prices. Forecast as of 28.09.2026LiteFinance
- EUR/USD breaks through the key 1.14 support as hopes for US-Iran deal fadeInvestingLive
- Euro consolidates losses below 1.1400 amid higher Oil prices, risk-off marketsFXStreet
- Euro struggles as Fed rate-hike bets overshadow ECB tightening expectationsFXStreet
- EUR/USD Slides as Rate Differentials Widen Against the EuroInvesting.com
- Euro slips back to its summer low as ECB President Lagarde urges measured hikesFXStreet
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Tuesday, September 29 | ||
| French Prelim CPI m/m | EUR | |
| Spanish Flash CPI y/y | 4.6% | EUR |
| Italian 10-y Bond Auction | EUR | |
| German Buba President Nagel Speaks | EUR | |
| ECB President Lagarde Speaks | EUR | |
| HPI m/m | 0.1% | USD |
| S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y | 2.2% | USD |
| CB Consumer Confidence | 89.2 | USD |